April vs May Hitting Comparison

April vs May Hitting Comparison

 

After looking at the numbers for pitchers from April to May, I got curious about what happened with our hitting. Well, to put it bluntly, we went from hot in April to not in May. But its more than that:

 

  1. 14 core positional players, only 4 have a better BA in May than April, and Pacheco it was .001. Surprisingly CarGo was 23 points better in May than April (but he stunk in April and wasn’t a lot better in May – .280), and Dickerson managed to better his .333 in April by hitting 20 points higher at .353! Charlie Culberson rising play time explained his rise from .083 to .244.
  2. Of the 10 players who declined, 7 had major decline. Blackmon really hurt at a decline of 114 points down to .260. Tulo’s decline of 23 points is major, but he still hit .341. Rosario fell 53 points below .200. Barnes fell almost 100 points. Morneau’s 79 point drop really hurt. But even those who were not, players like DJ, Arenado, and Cuddy all went down enough.
  3. The real big difference between the two month, BABIP. I have never seen anything like this. The MLB average is .300. In April 11 players were over that level. And 10 by more than 20 points. Heck 5 players had a BAIP over 50 points greater than the MLB average.
  4. In May 5 guys were below the average, with Blackmon at .259, Morneau at .263, and Rosario at .226. Those are three key guys who are very important guys and those much worse than average results plays big roles in squandered innings.
  5. The interesting thing on top of that is 5 hitters had a decline in BABIP of 30 points or more: Blackmon 105, Morneau 82, DJ 34, Barnes 85, and Rut 257 points difference in BABIP. That is where you go from being an offensive force in April and a sponge in May.
  6. Players to worry about – Dickerson has had BABIP of .347 and .424. He hits the ball hard (or Ks) but that is not sustainable. Troy likewise has been .357 and .354 but as hard as he hits the ball, that is not unusual. Stubbs had a BABIP of .500 in May and hit .250…which tells you a lot of Ks and we know a lot of infield hits.
  7. I wrote on the “Is the Season Over? Addendum” post the question of which team is this, the April or May. I am guessing somewhere closer to April than May but both months are unsustainable over the long-term. Two important factors: you cannot strike-out, especially at Coors, because you lose the chance to make the defense work and two, the harder you hit the ball the more a high BABIP is sustainable, and there are 3 players – Tulo, Dickerson and Blackmon who hit the ball hard and who should have higher BABIP. CarGo used to be in that group but he is a shadow of himself right now. Those 3 guys have the potential of really leading this offense going forward.
  8. Guess I should give a shout-out to Cuddy – consistent hitter, good ABs, hits the ball pretty hard, doesn’t K a lot….the professional hitter label fits.

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