HOT STOVE 2016

One last big RWO Hot Stove push before Spring Training kicks in fully.  Here is your chance to start “fresh” with your thoughts on what went right, wrong or not at all during the offseason.  What have you heard that’s coming up and what would you like to see before spring first pitch?  Let’s blow this sucker up like past Hot Stove threads and keep it goin’ till the Purple Kool-Aid’s a flowin’!!!

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jaredean

Fan of all things Baseball, perpetual Rockies dreamer, family man and dog owner.

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Bob K.
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Bob K.
sdcarp
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sdcarp

Kyle Parker to be DFA’d. I’m here to eat a little crow on this one. When he was drafted, and early in his minor league days I defended him regularly. My thought process was that since played football….and therefore baseball only part time, he could be a late bloomer. I stubbornly stood by this belief until last year. Obviously too much swing a miss, but he just doesn’t look like the dynamic athlete that he did as a Clemson QB.… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
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rockymountainhigh

I’m optimistic on Matzek cuz he had worked with professionals and appears to have cleared his mind. Others have gone thru this process, most prominent is Joey Votto.
http://www.denverpost.com/rockies/ci_29206958/tyler-matzek-off-track-performance-anxiety

Butler still a question mark. I will see him at ST.

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

RMH, I’m kind of optimistic on Matzek too. Unlike some of the other Steve Blass Disease guys, Matzek has had this before (really, twice before) and has gotten over it, so why won’t the third time stick?

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Kyle Parker: surprising to me since I thought they’d give him one more year. There really isn’t anyone pushing him at 1B in the minor league system – Will Swanner? Nope. Orioles have a couple minor league first basemen who are now blocked with the Chris Davis re-signing — why not snag one of ’em? I am no Ben Paulsen optimist, and I am an outright Mark Reynolds hater … can it be THAT hard to find a serviceable first… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

A name to keep in the back of your mind – Jake Bauers. He’s a Ray’s 1B prospect. Borderline top 5 guy in their system. Started in the Padres system and ended up with Rays……maybe in the Wil Myers deal? He’s trending towards being a solid average, really solid OBP type guy with moderate power (polar opposite of Reynolds). The Rays need an OFer, and have been linked with the Rox. Jus’ sayin.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Great, great article on our top 5 Purp prospect Ryan McMahon. He had a relatively high BABIP but it was a result more from hard hit balls than from lucky soft hits. http://www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20160115&content_id=161806356&fext=.jsp&vkey=toolshed&sid=milb&partnerId=ed-9990559-867226513 Another great article, this one about David Dahl and his spleen injury. It should be noted that Dahl roomed with McMahon and Trevor Story during the off-season at SRF@TS. http://www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?content_id=161467686&fext=.jsp&sid=milb&vkey=news_milb&ymd=20160112 Wow, this Minor League Reports have some great articles; this time it is about Alex Balog. Yes,… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

I just want to say – if the Rox sign Yvonni Gallardo (and thereby give up the 38th pick in the amateur draft) you’ll never hear from me again, because I will have died from shock and anger.

Bob K.
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Bob K.

For some reason Gallardo has always pitched very well against the Pirates. He has always pitched very poorly against the Rockies and has never pitched well at Coors Field. I agree that it would be a terrible mistake for the Rockies to sign him.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Fasten your seatbelt and drink some purple vodka, sdcarp:

Rockies and Gallardo’s agent meet again today (Friday) after meeting yesterday (Thursday) according to Thomas Harding.

Bob K.
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Bob K.

Per MLB Network, Gallardo’s ERA at Coor’s Field is 10.07.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Before I die from shock and anger reaction to a Gallardo signing, here’s some good news:

http://m.mlb.com/news/article/162444880/prospect-watch-top-10-catchers-for-2016

I’m a big Nunez fan, much moreso than Tom Murphy.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Nunez was rated only two spots behind Stephenson the first round pick of the Reds.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Let’s step into “hypothetical” for a moment (this is a reach – use your imagination!): Fundamental change -Let’s assume that a light switch flips on at the BSCS and they suddenly “get” the concept of sell high and flipping players that have no current value at the deadline. Now – with the above assumption, allow me to postulate this: 1. Sign Gallardo (and lose 38th pick) for 4 years. He’s 29. Looking at his last 5 years, he’s about a… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
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rockymountainhigh

The Monfarts need to show that they’re moving in the right direction by doing the easiest task of all – fire Dinger. At minimum, have the ushers move him away from the home plate in the ninth inning.

IggyRox
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IggyRox

When your team is owned by the Montforts, why do we even give a rat’s whatever about Dinger? Dinger is the least significant thing on this ‘team’. Until we cure the base problem, a thousand Dingers won’t change things around here.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I was very high on Correlle Prime even to the point of telling EdtheUmp at ST 2015 that he was our future first baseman. Then he had a bad year at Modesto causing me to leave him off my Purp 30 ballot completely. Now he may be coming back for a good year if we are to believe this article:

http://www.purplerow.com/2016/1/22/10788192/colorado-rockies-prospects-correlle-prime-break-out-strong-winter-australian-baseball-league

Bob K.
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Bob K.
Julian
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Julian

Should we bring back Carlos Torres, who was just designated by the Mets? There’s an interesting article about him on mlbtraderumors.com.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I submitted my ballot for the Purp 30 list and there were 41 ballots cast. Almost feels like being a HOF voter. sdcarp also submitted his ballot. Below is my personal ballot and the PR community ranking in parenthesis. I think I did fairly well pretty much in line with the community tabulation except for #29 Breiling Eusebio on my ballot (blame sdcarp for influencing me to put him on my ballot LOL 🙂 ) There are still eleven more… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

I did cast a ballot. Here’s what I posted December 14th: sdcarp’s Top 30 1. Brendan Rodgers 2. Jeff Hoffman 3. Ryan McMahon 4. Jon Gray (I’m high on Gray – but not quite as high as most. However, I will say this (being an old guy) – in 1987 the Braves traded 36 YO Doyle Alexander to the Tigers for a kid named John Smoltz. Smoltz was brought up in 88 and struggled. But he started taking off in… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

If I voted today, I would switch Hoffman and McMahon.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Two thoughts to add: 1. Breiling Eusebio’s stat line should also include (only) 16 walks. 2. I’ve long said its a mistake to rate minor league systems by depth (although depth IS a good thing). I look at “difference makers.” By “difference maker” I mean a potential legit all-star (not a “my team sucks but had to send one guy” all-star). I great farm system is lucky to have 3 difference makers at any given time. I thought we only… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I think we have more “difference makers” than you think if we go by top 10 at each position by MLB.com Jim Callis: Dom Nunez (#7) Jon Gray (#6) Forrest Wall (#4) Ryan McMahon (#3) Brendan Rodgers (#6) David Dahl (OFs not yet unveiled, but he’s likely to be top 10) Jeff Hoffman apparently just missed top ten RHP position. Rockies prospects were missing only from LHP and 1B. Looking at the above list, all were ranked (Dahl?) #7 or… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Keep in mind my definition of a “difference maker” is a legitimate future all-star. No way I see all those guys becoming future all stars. That would be some sort of unprecedented achievement for a Farm system, any Farm system.

I do see some solid everyday players, some role players, some complimentary players……..lots of potential usefulness. I see more in Rogers and McMahon. Hoffman……maybe, health permitting.

Mike Raysfan
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Mike Raysfan

Ok, so I’ve been out of the loop most of hot stove for most of the winter. Too much winter stuff going on. I’ve been watching MLBtv periodically to keep up. They really haven’t had much to say about the Rockies all winter. I just had it on and was kind of shocked to hear Rosenthal say the Rockies are trying to get Dexter Fowler. HUH? What have I missed. I thought they are trying to unload outfielders?

Bob K.
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Bob K.

Blackmon signs for $3.5MM. Only LeMahieu is still not signed.

Julian
Guest
Julian

7 prospects in the top 101, although none in the top 20. McMahon has too many errors at 3B. Maybe they should move him to 1B.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Two thoughts here – first regarding McMahon, on the surface, I thought the same thing. Too many errors. But I’ve read several scouting reports (independent of one another) that actually claim he should become above average at 3rd – defensively. Obviously there’s a (good) roadblock at 3rd in Denver at the moment. So this may become a moot question and he’ll move to 1st anyway. 7 in the top 101 is outstanding. None in the top 20 (although I bet… Read more »

roxnsox
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roxnsox

Dickerson to the Rays for P Jake McGee (two minor leaguers also exchanged, don’t know who). Analysis please, fellas! 🙂

sdcarp
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sdcarp

I’ve been skiing all day. Did we make a trade!

I have a Rays mole that I’ll likely talk to tonight. I’ll report back to the troops later.

ProgMatinee
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ProgMatinee

Good: 1 less LH OF to block David Dahl’s eventual call up

Bad: They dealt the one with the biggest upside.

If they intend to flip McGee this is the kind of trade that usually bites the Rockies in the ass because pitchers lose value after a stint at Coors.

That said, can’t have enough relievers on a team that burns them up quickly.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I’m going to wait until all the pieces fall in place. It might not be the only trade; McGee could be flipped for a good prospect or we don’t know what prospect we are getting in return (won’t be TB’s top 10). We also don’t know who we flipped to the Rays yet. For me, the best thing from the trade is not having to worry about Dickerson in the OF. I like Parra, Blackmon, and CarGo in the OF.… Read more »

Bob K.
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Bob K.

Christian Friedrich DFAed to make room for German Marquez. Kevin Padlo 3B was the minor league player included in the Dickerson trade.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/01/rockies-christian-friedrich-dfa.html

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I’m glad it was Padlo we gave up instead of another good prospect. We had a logjam at 3B in the first place. Arenado, McMahon, and Tyler Nevin. I prefer Nevin and McMahon over Padlo.

So we used the Padlo currency to get German Marquez a pitcher. More pitchers and less bottleneck at 3B down on the farm. Great trade.

IggyRox
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IggyRox

Never been a big Dickerson proponent, but I like a lot of the kid and a lot of his game. Didn’t like his D, didn’t like his base running. Perfect AL guy to play 1B or DH. That being said, they didn’t get enough for him. I actually like McGee, but he should have been the #2 guy in the deal. They gave up a professional hitter (thanks Woody Paige) for a setup guy. That’s why we’re all so frustrated.… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Roxnsox wanted analysis – so here’s analysis (and keep in mind what my Mom always told me – “it’s worth what you paid for it,” which in this case means ZERO. 1. Smacks of Monfart’s tampering. He believes we can be good in 2016 and is handcuffing Bridich. 2. Remember what I always say – the other 29 teams are smart. In the era of advanced analytics, everyone is hip to our home vs. road splits. We (Rox fans) are… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

BTW – regarding my 2016 projection and our 15/16 Hot Stove…..none of these deals change my outlook the we can field a respectable team in 18 and perhaps a contender in 19. The deals don’t change the time line (which is a big reason I question making them). The only real positive I see coming from the deals (looking to the future) is that there’s no doubt in my mind Miguel Castro will be turned into a SP. This could… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Dave Cameron’s take on the trade:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-weird-rumor-is-now-a-weird-trade/

If you don’t have the time, energy, or desire to read the article, the last sentence sums it up:

“Perpetual mediocrity is one kind of goal, I guess, but I’m not sure why it appears to be the Rockies goal.”

Julian
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Julian

I’m surprised we couldn’t get more for Dickerson. It certainly doesn’t look great on paper. But if we get a decent closer for a while, and then flip him, and if the young pitcher, who I assume will start at Hartford, one day is a back of the rotation starter for the Rockies in their contention window, then maybe the trade will be ok. It means that Parra plays left field, which us an upgrade. But I can’t believe it’s… Read more »

Pooter
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Pooter

This off season I have to say my optimism is at an all time low. HOWEVER, this deal kind of raises my hopes a little. I like Dickerson, but this deal kind of gives me a vision of a plan for 2016. Bullpen: Great (When Ottavino returns) Dominant! Offense: Great Starting Pitching: This is where I usually get fooled. You look at all of those guys and it appears to be a bunch of solid pitchers and for the first… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Here’s my quick take on some of the ever-perplexing (Blackmon’s term!) Rockies moves: 1. Gallardo? No, no, NO! Rosenthal talks about the plummeting market for Gallardo and suggests he may have to accept a one-year/make good contract from someone: http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/texas-rangers/rangers/2016/01/26/foxs-ken-rosenthal-teams-shy-signing-former-rangers-starter-yovani-gallardo. I guess I could live with that (the 38th draft pick is, well, not the most valuable thing in the world to surrender), but Gallardo (decreased velocity/K rate, etc.) is one giant red flag. How’d you like to have not… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Couple of additional thoughts here Ag; 1. German Marquez was already on the Rays 40 man roster. So now he’s on the Rox 40 man…..hence Friedrich’s DFA. I’m OK with losing Friedrich. I’ve noted many times were a bad team and have lots of dead weight on the 40 man. But by placing Marquez in Friedrich’s spot, were consuming that spot by a guy that won’t sniff the majors until mid-2017 at the earliest. This fact is why he was… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

It seems the majority of the fans, not just here but all over the cyberspace, seemed to dislike the trade. Forgive me if I sound like an everlasting optimist. That does not mean I am optimistic about this year, just that I’m “representing” the alternate viewpoint. Moving Dickerson out meets one of my “Winning at Altitude” mantras; now we have two Gold Glovers in the corners and a respectable CF. Plus if Dickerson gets injured again, then we would have… Read more »

Pooter
Guest
Pooter

I agree on everything but Francine not being considered an ace in 2017. Anyone that wins 17 of more games in a year should be considered an ace. I like and for now will trust in JB’s plan

Pooter
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Pooter

I meant 2007 obviously… Long week!

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

FWIW – you know I TOTALLY respect your opinion, even though I disagree with some significant chunks of it. I’ll say one thing about Dickerson that bothered me (footnote – I’m about to get very hypothetical and use “gut” feel)……..when he made his ill-fated comeback from plantar late last year, it appeared to me that he had really lost his conditioning. It appeared to me he had gained significant weight (not good weight). Maybe I’m wrong. Maybe I’m reading too… Read more »

Bill
Member
Bill

I’ve been out of touch most of the winter but checked in this morning to see what the reaction was to the trade. We knew that once Parra was signed that the Rockies would have to get rid of one of their left-handed hitting outfields. (Although this being the Rockies nothing but head-scratching is really certain). But I like the trade. I got to see McGee pitch quite a bit and he is a talented hard-throwing left-handed pitcher. And is… Read more »

Bob K.
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Bob K.

Kyle Parker cleared waivers and has been outrighted to AAA Albuquerque.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/01/rockies-to-designate-kyle-parker-for-assignment.html

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Illustrates just how bad he is, and how we (myself included – in fact I was on his bandwagon) over-valued him as a Prospect.

Julian
Guest
Julian

And it illustrates how bad we have been at drafting and developing players. Hopefully the new regime will be better.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Agree. One huge hurdle that we have to clear is coming to grips with the “draft the best player available regardless of position or need” concept. We did that last year with Rogers. We need to continue with that thought process in the 1st round (and perhaps even the 2nd round). When you look back at our 1st round draft mistakes…many were picks to fill a need, and therefore better players were passed over. Pick the better player, let him… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

So we have both Dickerson and Blackmon looking out of shape … thankfully, Gerardo Parra and Cargo look ripped. Maybe the Rockies need to bring in their Venezuelan strength and fitness coach. One thing on Bridich: he still isn’t doing anything to mess with the club’s prospective roster come carp’s 2019 (possible) competition window. McGee has 2 years left of club control; ditto Cargo; ditto Motte and Qualls. They went 3 years on Parra. So I’d be stunned if they… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

A appreciate that you put “(possible)” when reference my 2019 contention window theory. It’s certainly possible…..I just hope they do the correct things. This subject has come up on other websites, and I frequently say I’m frivolous with the Owners money. So I should really practice what I preach and not get so negative about the Qualls signing because fundamentally you’re correct. It doesn’t impact the contention window. If Monfart wants to spend and go from 60-65 wins to 65-70… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Pooter said our bullpen looks great, hitting looks great, starting pitching looks awful. Well, I kind of disagree: starting pitching could (could!) be kind of o.k. It all depends on Gray, Bettis, and Lyles, all of whom — if healthy — have looked like kind of average starters, which is a huge upgrade over what we’ve seen recently. As for hitting? Well, I was going to go through the post-Dickerson lineup, but one of the purplerow writers, Matt Gross, beat… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

I read Matt’s article last week. The offense is indeed headed towards awful!

roxnsox
Guest
roxnsox

Oh no! So we’ll be average-to-bad in all three phases now? If true, the pain level grows. Give me some names of hitters in our pipeline to keep my hopes alive!

roxnsox
Guest
roxnsox

Of course, there are four phases in baseball (I guess – SP, RP, Offense, Defense). I was channeling the football cliche favorites.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

It’s tempting to add a 5th phase (Managing). Here’s the thing…..the BP might be good. I can even a see a semi-realistic scenario (healthy McGee, healthy Motte regaining strength 75 IP+ removed from TJ surgery, continued emergence of Justin Miller, correctly inserting Chatwood in the BP instead of SP) where the BP might be somewhat significantly above average. I can also see a semi-realistic scenario of at least average defense. Parra is a significant upgrade over Dickerson. Story/Adames/Descalso represent an… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

roxnsox, the hitter I’ll be watching is CF prospect David Dahl. His minor league career was interrupted a couple times — torn hamstring, then lost his spleen (hey, who needs a spleen? I didn’t even know I had one) in a collision. But he was a high draft pick out of high school and everything suggests he has the talent. I’m hoping to get a look at him if I can make it to spring training this year. A good… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Hartford is the new Tulsa. Yardgoats are the new Drillers. But who knows, the Yardgoats have to play the first 6+ weeks on the road, so they be livin’ on Tulsa time.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

The hitter I’m going to watch is Ryan McMahon. 🙂

EdtheUmp
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EdtheUmp

Hello boys and girls… Hardly any postings this fall/winter. Traveling with my queen and the 3 dogs enjoying the great outdoors…but…Spring Training games begin in a month. RMH is gonna join me the 5th thru the 12th. Any of you RWOers who are coming to the Valley are welcome to join me anytime…I have GREAT seat location tix. Sec 109, row 4, seats 7-12 and sec 109, row 5, seats 11 & 12…I can arrange tickets for any games you… Read more »

roxnsox
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roxnsox

Spring training remains but a dream for me, but it’s nice to keep in the “you never know” pocket – and thanks for the warm invite, Ed!

jaredean
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jaredean

Ed, you are the man! Thanks for posting this my friend and if i can somehow make it work i’d love to bring my son down and watch a game with you. Always a good time catching some Rox with EdtheUmp!

Believe it when i see it…that should be the sub-headline for the site 😉

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Ed – we’ll be in Phoenix the 9th – 12th. Not sure of our exact schedule yet. I haven’t been to the new Cubs stadium yet, nor out to Surprise. So I’d like to knock at least one of those off my list. Otherwise, I’ll probably choose based on pitching matchups and position battles.

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Angels claim Christian Friedrich and DFA another former Rockie Taylor Featherston to make room for him.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/angels-claim-friedrich-waivers-rockies-featherston-dfa.html

jimboelrod
Guest
jimboelrod

http://m.rockies.mlb.com/news/article/163756572/no-set-roles-for-motte-mcgee-in-rox-bullpen Interesting piece by Tracy Ringolsby comparing this year’s pen to ’95 pen.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Every year (I mean EVERY year) some team says they’ll use 2-3 guys in the Closer role, mix and match, play the hot hand, etc. You know all the code words. Yet….when the games get real, Managers seem to almost always revert to the traditional assigned roles concept. Maybe (finally!) the Rox will be the Club that really implements the “team” approach to Pen assignments. I do think Motte and McGee can effectively Close in the correct situations. And…..if they… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

63-99! That’s what one of the best sabert guys, Clay Davenport (claydavenport.com) now has for his Rockies projection. And yes, that would be the worst team in baseball — even the Phillies project at 65 wins. Ouch. Reality will likely be somewhere between the more optimistic projections I’ve seen — somewhere on the order of 74 wins — and Davenport’s floor. But really, amazing how this club has, by basically standing still, dropped even further back as everyone else improves.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

I was trending downwards (below 62 wins before Christmas). Then our series of head-scratcher moves has me “up” to something in the 65-68 range now. I’ve also been looking at some of the early 2016 projections (notably ZiPS) and its brutal. I also now TOTALLY get why opposing Clubs weren’t offering what the Rox wanted for Cargo. In hindsight, I believe Bridich et al walked away from the Winter Meetings knowing the return for Cargo wouldn’t be what they (and… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

EDIT: Davenport’s got some cleaning up of his data to do – in other charts he shows the Rox at 64 wins (kind of rounding error). Here’s the key underlying thing: for position players, projected WAR: Arenado 5.0 WAR Reyes 2.6 That’s right, Jose Reyes — JOSE REYES — projects as our second best position player! (I guess that’s assuming he plays) Yes, I think Cargo will outperform his projected 1.5 WAR, which is dragged down by his injury plagued… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Ag…..you’re the Owner of the PAT franchise.

Can I buy a franchise and publish my PAT for us being 500 in 2017? (You’re wasting brain cells for 2016).

Bob in Indy
Member
Bob in Indy

Well, now that that little Super Bowl distraction is behind us it’s time to start thinking baseball again. Last year I swore by the “I won’t be optimistic in the spring” mantra as I felt there was no way we had any chance to win the division or wild card. This year I am a bit optimistic as I feel we have reached rock bottom and have nowhere to go but up. I should clarify that my optimism is for… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Bob – I like your thought process, as well as Ag’s (coming up with a PAT to be 500, instead of being a playoff team). For the last 4 years, I’ve been driving the Rockies criticism bandwagon….but even I believe we’ve hit rock bottom and a rebound is in sight. I have been saying for 2+ years that 2018 might be a 500 season. Now…..I’m leaning towards modifying my 2018 horizon to 2017. I think many fans (perhaps even a… Read more »

Doc
Member
Doc

I hope we get all four Carp, but I’m thinking we’ll be stuck with accomplishing #3 as a “rash of unforeseen injuries” sabotages #1 and #2 and #4, well, that would be a major breakthrough IMHO.

jaredean
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jaredean

guys, i’m really sorry about the weird issues with the current site. I’ve been working VERY hard to get a new site up before first pitch of Spring Training and this current site is falling apart all around me. I hope to have a little “glimpse” for you guys soon as to the direction. It will be a completely updated look and feel with hopefully a still familiar sense to it. Stay tuned…my goal is to have it up next… Read more »

Gary
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Gary

Will follow you any where fearless leader.

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Agree Gary……looking forward to the new site!

jaredean
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jaredean

thanks guys – i’m quite annoyed that this site is breaking down – so glad to have the new one about ready!!!

roxnsox
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roxnsox

You rock. Thanks AGAIN:)

EdtheUmp
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EdtheUmp

You had me at “stay tuned”.

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Prospects, Schmospects … on the Overrating of Prospects, Part 1: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/evaluating-the-2016-prospects-colorado-rockies/ Really good evaluations, showing a lot of hard work put in. But … see this comment on baseballthinkfactory by the always worth reading Walt Davis: “…No one’s system is that good. …Just looked at his Cubs rankings and I’ve got to agree. He’s (the fangraphs author) got 10 players with a median projection of 50 or higher — which is supposedly an “average regular” or 2 WAR player. In… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Ag – this gets me back to one of my longtime pet peeves…..I don’t like the concept of ranking farm systems based of depth. Now, don’t get me wrong. There’s nothing wrong with depth. In fact, it’s a great thing. But I’ve always maintained that the most accurate way to look at farm systems is by the number of truly elite prospects (I use the term “difference makers”) are in the system. In my mind we have two, maybe (probably)… Read more »

Agbayani
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Agbayani
rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

I bought the just released Baseball Prospect book. Nice info on prospects and lists all kinds of sabermetric stats. PECOTA projections as well. This book will come in handy when it comes to trade rumors (or actual trades) and I can read up on the unheard-of names.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

RMH – I subscribed to BP for years. Great publication. I have to say that I found the PECOTA projection system (disclosure – I haven’t looked at that system in the last couple of years) had a hard time handling players coming back from injuries. But….the stories in the publication were typically excellent.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

The sound you just heard was me exhaling……as it appears that we’ve dodged the Yvonni Gallardo bullet. Thank you Orioles! I have to say….we’re moving down the “head scratching” list. Less than a week after the Snakes traded for Jean Segura (while they have young, cost controlled, excellent defensive MIers Chris Owings and Nick Ahmed), the Orioles are on the verge of signing Gallardo and may apply the “if we lose the 14th draft pick as compensation, we might as… Read more »

Agbayani
Guest
Agbayani

Random thoughts as the warm spell has me thinking spring training: 1. Corey Dickerson = Seth Smith. While I hated that Smith trade, and didn’t like the Dickerson trade, surely the return for Dickerson is better than the return for Smith. Anyone remember Guillermo Moscoso and Josh Outman? By the way, Seth Smith has had a nice little productive career. 2. Where’s Justin Morneau? Still unsigned. Cheapo 1 -year deal for him paired with Mark Reynolds in a platoon wouldn’t… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Boy…..the Ian Stewart vs Ryan McMahon comparison gets (I think…..solely my opinion based only on anecdotal evidence) into comparing fairly similar physical specimens with what appears to be entirely different brains. I’ll leave it at that.

Bob in Indy
Member
Bob in Indy

I sure can’t comment on anything to do with Ian Stewart. I once noted that his first year stats were much better than Mike Schmidt’s. Very humbling to my baseball knowledge ego.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

I’m always excited for Spring Training. I cherry pick games based on scheduled pitchers, young players/prospects scheduled to play, etc. I’m even on a mission to visit all the Parks in Phoenix. So while being excited about ST for 2016 in general……..my excitement hasn’t been Rockies based, until the NRIs were announced today. Lots of expected names on the list (Dahl for example). But I’m super-excited that Ryan McMahon and Dom Nunez made the list. This will be fun!

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

NRI announced: Left-handed pitchers (5) Yohan Flande Kyle Freeland Jason Gurka Sam Moll Harrison Musgrave Right-handed pitchers (8) Matt Carasiti Shane Carle Simon Castro Gonzalez Germen Nelson Gonzalez Jeff Hoffman Brock Huntzinger Brian Schlitter Catcher (4) Ryan Casteel Dom Nunez Will Swanner Jackson Williams Outfielders (5) Noel Cuevas David Dahl Rosell Herrera Jordan Patterson Michael Tauchman Infielders (2) Ryan McMahon Kyle Parker I’m more focused on pitchers than offense mostly because our “Lift Factor” for team offense looks to be… Read more »

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

” looks like Kyle Anderson and Rosell Herrera will be given their last chance to prove why they should be more than organizational fillers.”

I assume you mean Kyle Parker. I have no idea who Kyle Anderson would be.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Thanks, fixed the typo. 🙂

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Baseball America’s Top 100 prospects list: 37. Jon Gray 39. David Dahl 40. Brendan Rogers 43. Ryan McMahon 68. Jeff Hoffman 97. Tom Murphy This kind of tracks Carp’s idea of depth but not (yet) any prospects considered truly “elite.” But a quick note on these lists. The Rockies-only ranking on Baseball America goes like this: Gray Dahl Rogers Hoffman McMahon Freeland Murphy So Hoffman is a better prospect than McMahon on one list, a worse prospect on the other… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Very nice. I agree Ag. There’s still plenty of room to make the Farm better……hence my desire to hold onto the 38th overall pick this year. Also one side note……..Brendan Rodgers has slid down some of these lists a bit after a bit of a lethargic showing in GJ and some winter workout situations. I’ve even seen the ubiquitous word “attitude” creep into some descriptors. I’d be careful to put too much stock (pro or con) in the HS kids… Read more »

roxnsox
Guest
roxnsox

The dreaded “attitude” word about a kid! Hope it’s not true, or at least is just his tender age showing itself in one of the negative ways that it might in the circumstances. I like the Cardinals’ approach (I think we all respect that organization). Also, re: Ag’s post above, I was surprised Holliday was never an elite prospect. I guess he was a dark horse or a late bloomer, or maybe to be “elite” you have to play defense?… Read more »

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.
sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Cut and paste from the Saunders article: “The study found that only 65 percent returned to pitching at a major-league level (compared with 87 percent after one surgery) and that on average they lasted three years or fewer at the big-league level. What’s more, the innings pitched dropped nearly in half when the player did return. Also, walks jumped from 4.02 to 4.79 for every nine innings pitch.” I’ve been screaming this at the top of my lungs for years.… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Chatwood: Carp, I agree … as you’ve pointed out, his chances for post-2nd TJ success are far greater as a reliever. But … he really doesn’t add much value as a reliever. I guess it’s possible that he could really take to the bullpen role and with a 2-pitch mix see the K rate go up, kind of the Ottavino model. But that wasn’t the case when he worked out of the bullpen before (although that was inconsistent). So he’d… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

It’s funny – I’m trying to protect Chatwood, but I’m willing to bet if you ask him, he says “I want to be a SP!”

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Guess you guys skipped over the part were it says that he was so far removed from the first TJ the bone almost completely healed and the doctor says it is almost as good as the first TJ.

I choose to be optimistic…..

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Chris Nelson is back on a minor league contract.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

CHRIS NELSON!! Do we need depth at 2B or 3B????? Adames, Descalso, Story, Wall, McMahon, Nevin….

Waste of money even though he’s in the minors….

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Two fantastic articles regarding rating Farm Systems. The first is presented by Jeff Zimmerman. This is my preference because it attempts to account for elite Prospects (I call them “Difference Makers”): http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/mlb-farm-systems-ranked-by-surplus-war/ The second – presented by Chris Mitchell: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/katohs-farm-system-rankings/ It’s stunning to me how quickly, and quietly, Milwaukee has rebuilt their system. Here’s the thing – they’re still sitting on Jonathan LuCroy who they will no doubt trade for a premium return. So it’s only going to get stronger… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

roxnsox, excellent question on Matt Holliday. I looked up his prospect ratings. – 7th round pick out of high school – made an immediate impression in Rookie League ball as an 18 year old, then put up pretty ordinary numbers in the minors till he was called up – NEVER made a Baseball America Top 100 list As for fielding, if I remember correctly he was a 3rd baseman who got moved to LF because old football injuries caused him… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Ian Desmond I posted this wacky thought on Purple Row: Disclaimer #1 – personally, I’m in favor of holding the 38th pick Disclaimer #2 – I’m going to use very broad numbers for the sake of the “discussion.” I realize they’re not exactly correct. Jose Reyes is owed very roughly 44M over the next 2 years. That’s 136K per game. Let’s say his DV suspension is 75 games (it’s got to be more than the first offence PED suspension, right?).… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Ian Desmond’s numbers are in a free fall the last three-four years. I’d rather take Adames/Descalso/Ynoa/DJLM (remember he has played a little ss) and keep the #38 pick.

Projections by the various sabermetrics sources are not very kind to Desmond.

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

DJ signs 2 year $7.8MM deal to avoid arbitration. His was the last remaining arbitration case in all of ML baseball.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/rockies-extend-dj-lemahieu.html

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

I sort of like this deal. If he plays well again, I can see him being attractive at the deadline with a short-term, reasonable contract like this.

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Rockies claim Tony Wolters C/IF from the Indians.

Ottavino transferred to 60 day DL to make room on the 40 man roster.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/rockies-claim-tony-wolters-waivers-indians.html

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Wolters – this worth a read:

http://m.mlb.com/news/article/67438262/bernie-pleskoff-indians-prospect-tony-wolters-has-right-stuff-for-transition-to-catcher

I have to say, while being a long shot for sure, this pickup is pretty darn intriguing. The kid is 23. Was #11 Prospect in an Organizarion that typically has a solid Farm. I’m curious to see if the Rox view him as a sleeper, late developing Catcher OR a reserve MIer that can catch in a pinch.

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Wolters sounds a little Jordan Pacheco-y to me …

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Pacheco-y’s calling card (not that it was a strong card) was offense. Sounds as though Wolters’s card may be defense.

roxnsox
Guest
roxnsox

Hey guys (and girls), I’m thinking I might need another team(s) to watch this year if/when the Rockies are too depressing. (Yes, as a fan since they were but a twinkle in the eyes of the region’s baseball lovers, I reserve the right to speak in that manner. Ha!) I don’t know how the Red Sox are supposed to do, but I’ll always give them some attention. (I’m ducking out of the way as some of you throw things.) Also,… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

I can’t help with the extra innings question. In fact, I’m equally interested to read some info from others. Regarding other teams, I’m a Rockies fan first, but also a fan of baseball in general. In years that the Rox are out of the race early (the last 5 for example!) I almost always find myself adopting another team short term. I’m a sucker for the small market, lower payroll teams that are well put together/managed. The Rays, A’s, and… Read more »

Bob in Indy
Member
Bob in Indy

Check this out this webpage: http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/subscriptions/index.jsp?content=products&c_id=mlb Click on your device or manufacturer and check the list of supported gear. Looks like many newer devices include the mlb.tv app and will let you stream your subscription directly to your TV without a computer. In my case, my Blu-Ray player and TV are both a year or two too old and cannot access my subscription. I have to connect my laptop by HDMI cable to view on my big screen. Hope this… Read more »

jaredean
Guest
jaredean

I’ve been a very happy MLBtv user for many years. It honestly is very nice to be able to use it with my phone, ipad, computer and TV to catch games. They are really the best service for any sport out there, bar none. There area bunch of changes coming with the class action lawsuit and blackouts. The dust hasn’t quite settled, but it looks like you might have a little bit more flexibility when watching your out of market… Read more »

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Christian Friedrich waiver claim reversed and he has been returned to the Rockies. The Rockies have released him. The waiver reversal was due to a medical evaluation made by the Angels.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/angels-return-christian-friedrich-rockies-released.html

JulieG
Guest
JulieG

I have followed the Cubbies for along time, since the Braves moved to Atlanta. The Rockies are my team, but I am always checking up on the Cubs.

Gary
Guest
Gary

Could finally be the year!

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

The only thing the Cubs lack is an elite Bullpen. But they can work on that as the season progress. Couple this with what I believe will be some regression from the Cards and Pirates and they’re in good shape in the Central. From there…..it’s a matter of getting hot for the playoffs.

Jared Dean Blanchard
Guest
Jared Dean Blanchard

Apparently we are done before we started…nice to see it in print 😉

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/25490557/almost-guaranteed-these-six-teams-wont-contend-in-2016

Bob in Indy
Member
Bob in Indy

Is this the same media that said Trump would be long gone by now? I certainly am not making a political statement, just pointing out how wrong the media can be. Maybe a better example is the widespread predictions that the Steelers, Patriots, and most certainly the Panthers would end the Broncos season.

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Chad Bettis predicted to be in top ten at risk for Tommy John surgery.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/predicting-tommy-john-surgeries.html

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Thanks Bob. I read this when it came out. I’m fascinated by stuff like this. I like this quote: “Altitude of Home Park: Despite the considerable effort it took to match up each player’s home park with their park’s altitude, this attribute appears to have no effect on TJS. One might suspect that environmental issues impact the prevalence of certain injuries, but we can cross off altitude for now.” Sadly – last year in our 2015 Rockies prediction thread, I… Read more »

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Temporarily the Rockies have an opening on their 40 man roster. Jose Reyes has been placed on paid leave by MLB and will miss all of spring training.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/jose-reyes-paid-leave-rockies.html

ProgMatinee
Guest
ProgMatinee

The Rockies are in crappy situation.

They have to pay the guy.
He can’t practice.

As awful as it is to say it, as a Rockies fan our best hope is he’s found guilty.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Prog – as I understand this (and I could be wrong!) players don’t get paid during Spring Training. Then, once the official suspension begins, the Rox are not on the hook for paying him while suspended. Last year, as we approached the waiver deadline (remember, Reyes easily passed through waivers), he was owed about +/- 48M. I thought we’d be really lucky to get a receiving team take 10M of his salary. So in my opinion, we were going to… Read more »

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

My understanding is that normally the players get paid 6 months out of the year. However players that make a lot of money often have their payments spread over all 12 months. It was said that Jose Reyes is one of the players that gets paid every month so he will get paid during spring training.

ProgMatinee
Guest
ProgMatinee

Have to admit I can’t stomach the thought enough to read a full article. All the headlines I’ve read say its a “paid” suspension so I only assumed that it was as you described.

Jeem
Admin
Jeem

Just back from the Sunshine State where word is the Marlins have a new manager, Don Mattingly, and hitting coach, Barry Bonds, and may not wear facial hair. Their fans, all 54 of them, are squirming with anticipation!

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.

Dexter Fowler thought to have a 3 year $33MM deal in place with the Orioles signs with the Cubs on a one year deal for $8MM plus a $9MM option year with a $5MM buyout.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

In my opinion, the Orioles are following the same path the Angels have followed. A bunch of weird trades and FA signings mostly at the expense of their Farm Systems. I think both are headed for a train wrecks in the near future…..they may eek out good seasons this year….but they’ll both unravel by 17 or 18.

Bob K.
Guest
Bob K.
ProgMatinee
Guest
ProgMatinee

Very good player for the Rockies. Shame he was only our set up man in 2009 rather than the closer because I think that series against Philly might have ended differently.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Very good article over on Purple Row:

http://www.purplerow.com/2016/2/26/11118786/these-rockies-stink-against-left-handed-pitching

Worth a read….although you may not like outcome!

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Read that article; I already thought of that as a possibility since we signed Parra. I’m already waving the white flag on the offensive side of the ball and will be focused on pitching as a fan as we have several prospects getting close to the majors and they are upgrades over scrap heap signings. For this year, I don’t care if we average one run a game, but I consider it a very successful season if we can keep… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

For the life of me, I’m not sure why we didn’t chase Austin Jackson (maybe we did, maybe there’s more to the story) harder. Right handed. Can play CF. Solid defender. Cheaper. Shorter contract.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp
Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Ahh, spring training, when every prospect is a future star, and every oft-injured veteran reports “in the best shape of his life” … http://www.denverpost.com/rockies/ci_29558338/carlos-gonzalez-best-shape-life-primed-big-season-rockies …(Pablo Sandoval excepted) … … and every 26 year old former first round pick is suddenly ready to fulfill his potential: http://www.denverpost.com/rockies/ci_29558338/carlos-gonzalez-best-shape-life-primed-big-season-rockies Yes, this is stupidly cynical and I deserve everyone’s scorn. But ask yourself: when’s the last time you read a Spring Training story that says “Top Prospect Fails to Impress in Early Sessions,” or… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Nick Groke reporting via Twitter David Hale pulled a hammy today. Not good for a borderline guy in what’s become a crowded bullpen competition.

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

Ian Desmond to the Rangers for 1 year. They give up the 19th pick for 1 year. They must really like their chances this year (the AL West is weak on paper). I read an interesting article from one of the routine FanGraphs contribututers (sorry – no link) suggesting one simple way to improve the QO/CP dilemma is tweaking the rule such that if the FA ends up signing a 1 year deal with another team under the original QO,… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Really, really, really good news…..from RotoWorld: “Rockies infield prospect Ryan McMahon will play first base this spring. The club’s top corner infield prospect is blocked at third base by Nolan Arenado, so a move across the diamond makes sense. McMahon has only played third base in his first 317 games at the professional level, but a move to first shouldn’t be difficult. He’s slated to start 2015 at Double-A Hartford. “He’s still a third baseman,” Rockies assistant general manager Zach… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh

Tulo can’t get over the trade just yet….Now NoDo is not happy with Tulo’s comments as printed in today’s USA Today’s article. I’m starting to admire NoDo more and more. First he dumped Bor-ass as his agent and now he’s standing up for the Rockies even though he has always been friends with Tulo.
http://blogs.denverpost.com/rockies/2016/02/29/21489/21489/

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Tulo is a dork. I new it from the time I heard the Miley Cyrus walk-up song (all snark intended)! I like the reference to “they way a Spring Training facility should be” when referencing the Jays. By my count, Tulo’s first Spring with the Rox was probably 2006 at Hi Corbett. Hi Corbett was not a bad place……..in fact, I quite enjoyed my one ST visit there. I’m willing to bet it’s significantly better than the Dunedin Jay’s facility… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

RMH – I think Tulo’s 2K16 walkup song should be the “tight pants” song from the Jimmy Fallon show. It’s so perfect for him.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nv7Ts4v5_Bs

Jeem
Admin
Jeem

What Tulo meant to say: “Jesus, this place is primitive!”

roxnsox
Guest
roxnsox

Good Lord, I miss my country club training facility!

Pooter
Guest
Pooter

Yes it’s 24 something per month if you don’t cancel it they keep billing you every month though

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Ideas for topics on new website:

2016 ST Game thread
2016 Predictions
Link to 2015 Predictions
Walk-up Song Nominees

jaredean
Guest
jaredean

oooohhh…i like the direction this is going! i’m working hard to bring the new site to the masses, but sadly it took a big step backwards. The person i hired to help me make the transition did it incorrectly. I have the site look pretty cool, but it isn’t functioning like it should. I needed to hire a new person to fix the issues and he said it will take some time. 🙁 So i had the new person fix… Read more »

sdcarp
Guest
sdcarp

No worries and thanks!

Gary
Guest
Gary

Everyone’s favorite Drew Stubbs signs minor league deal with the Rangers.