Rockies Seek Home Dominance

Rockies Seek Home Dominance

Colorado returns to Coors Field leading the Wild West by 0.5 over Arizona, 2.5 over San Francisco, 3.5 over Los Angeles, and 5.5 over San Diego.  But the residents of the Rocky Mountain region don’t feel like there’s any reason to celebrate.  The Rockies did complete the nine-game trip through California with a respectable 4-5 record, but their overall record is only 26-24.  They split two in the Gaslamp District, split four in the Bay Area, and took one of three in the Chavez Ravine.

Yet the feel good spirit seem to be missing in LoDo.  There are several complaints left and right about everyone not named Nolan Arenado.  The pitchers continue to pitch well keeping the Rockies in the game nightly with the exception of Bryan Shaw and Chris Rusin.  The culprit is offensive offense with a lot of hitters not even hitting the Mendoza line.  Bud Black keeps changing the lineup nightly and as a result the Rockies lead the majors in most different lineups.  That prevented everyone from settling into a routine.  A lot of fans are blaming several hitters thinking they aren’t really motivated.  Chris Ianetta, the least likely person to speak for the team, went on Twitter to ask for some patience.

At least the team is trying their hardest to get back on track and no one is pointing fingers in the locker room which is unfortunately the best news.  They need to break out on a consistent basis starting this Memorial Day weekend with three games each against the Reds, Giants, and Dodgers.  Jon Gray, the fake ace, gets the nine game home stand started tonight.

Hitters in quick sand

rockymountainhigh

Hometown - Champaign, IL College - Northern Illinois University, 1988 Sports Editor for my high school newspaper. Travels frequently - I can be found anywhere in the world.

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sdcarp
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sdcarp

sdcarp’s bold (and irrelevant) statement of the day…….the single player in all of Major League Baseball that would benefit most from playing 1/2 their games at Coors is Billy Hamilton. Hamilton has been around for a while now. The sample size is large. He’s NOT a good hitter. But the massive Coors OF space/size could help him a bit. He would be a great super-sub for the Rox (remember, he came up as a SS). 4th OFer, pinch runner, defensive… Read more »

Agbayani
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Agbayani

RMH, good point about getting some players consistent playing time, particularly Dahl. McMahon too. A breakout by at least one of them is essential if this offense is going to turn into something better than awful. I’m no Wolters fan, but at this point I’m wondering if the proper move is Murphy up, Iannetta out for a while (where’s that “catchers get nicked up” injury that gives Murphy a chance?). McMahon at 2B while DJ is out is a great… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

If you’ll recall coming into the year, my surprise WC contender was the Phillies (they’re proving that statement correct in spades) and my surprise “maybe come close to 500 team” was the Reds. Well…….they’re not making me look like a good prognosticator (yet). But……….they’re an intriguing organization. They’ve got some solid young offensive guys, (Senzel is still in the minors) and some BP pieces with upside (fortunately, we’re missing Raisel Isglesias – on the DL as the moment). What they… Read more »

Bob K.
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Bob K.

The Rockies are 15-7 when Wolters catches. During today’s broadcast they said that Wolters is leading catchers with +8 DRS (defensive runs saved). I have not seen any evidence that Murphy is even an adequate defensive catcher let alone knows how to call a game. I have not seen it proven at the major league level that he is a good hitter. But if he is such a great hitter, make a 1st baseman out of him. I would not… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

Bob K – I’ve thought the very same thing (why not Murphy at 1st?) numerous times. At one point, I checked the ABQ stats last week and Murphy and played 34 games at C and 5 at DH. Not a single game at 1st.

Bob K.
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Bob K.

It really is not acceptable to have a 1st baseman hitting .176 at the major league level. Most catchers at the major league level that are good hitters eventually play 1st base. Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are just a couple of good examples. I still have not seen any evidence that the Rockies can develop a good catcher on their own.

Agbayani
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Agbayani

Bob K. – true about Murphy. We don’t know what we have in him. But be careful with those Catcher defensive stats! It’s easy to cherry pick, particularly with the small sample sizes we get with backup catchers. Example: – Rockies team ERA last year: 4.51. ERA when Wolters was catching: 5.07 – Pitch framing: per StatCorner (BP does this too, but I don’t pay to subscribe): Wolters was terrible last year (if we trust the numbers), Murphy (tiny sample)… Read more »

Bob K.
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Bob K.

I have a theory why Wolters pitch framing got worse last year and I blame it on the Rockies announcers. I may be wrong but I believe that last year the umpires were making up for all the “stolen” strikes Wolters got in 2016 when he ranked very high. Umpires can watch or listen to games and the constant comment “Wolters stole that strike” cannot have set very well with the umpires. I know you also disagree with this but… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

For the record….I’m in agreement regarding the Hitting Coach(es). Espy at a minimum needs to go.

sdcarp
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sdcarp

sdcarp getting crazy, 5/29/2018 version: FACT = Seattle Mariners 33-20, 2nd in AL Wild Card race (just behind Yankees, some breathing room to 3rd (Halos 4 1/2 back)) FACT = Mariners desperately need 2B/CF help thanks to Cano’s PED suspension and Dee Gordon’s toe….and Dee Gordon really needs to play CF. FACT = Jerry DiPoto likes to trade. FACT = Rockies have DL LeMahieu coming off the DL soon. Keep in mind DJ’s contract expires this year. With Hampson, Rodgers,… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

One additional comment (unrelated to above) – that damn David Dahl seems to be the only player that we have that can pinch hit reliably…..making him valuable in two roles (as the everyday LFer, but also coming off the bench). This is a mildly unfortunate development in a warped sort of way.

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Billy Beane: the first third of the season is to find out what you’ve got. The second third is to acquire the pieces you’re missing. The final third is to win with them. We just passed the 1/3 pole yesterday. Good news: performing at an 87-win rate. You need a couple key pieces to get over the hump! This is the year to go for it … the division, that is. I like Carp’s crazy ideas, but I’d shoot more… Read more »

roxnsox
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roxnsox

That’s the first time I’ve ever heard RBI called a junk stat. I’d love to hear why you say so. (Is it junkier than runs scored or ERA? My two least favorites.)

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

RBI: 2003, Larry Walker had 79 RBIs. Preston Wilson had 144 (in less than 100 more at bats). He had Larry Walker to drive in! (and some other guys like Todd Helton batting in front of him). It’s just too context dependent to be a useful stat. Now, it’s not totally useless. That’s why I mentioned that even though it’s not a “good” metric, if Trevor Story is on a pace to bat in 120 runs, that means: (1) he’s… Read more »

roxnsox
Member
roxnsox

Context dependent – true! See my complaints about runs scored and ERA. “Other guys-dependent” would also describe those. But then we may be venturing into a wider discussion called It Takes A Whole Team and maybe every stat is too context dependent. No, that’s going too far 😉

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

Meanwhile … Jon Gray, what’s up?
And is it just me, or is Charlie not covering much ground in CF anymore (having gotten older and bulkier over the years)? That’s why I want to see us acquire a true/fast centerfielder.

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

And RMH, I checked fangraph’s UZR (ultimate zone rating, probably still the best defensive metric out there) – for this year, Charlie is performing at a staggeringly awful rate of 22.6 runs below average defensively (prorated to a 150 game season). 9 runs created or saved generally translates into about 1 win. So if Charlie continues like this, his defense will cost the team about 2.5 wins. He’s a very good hitter, so it’s not like he’s a bad player… Read more »

sdcarp
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sdcarp

3 games is huge, BIGLY.

roxnsox
Member
roxnsox

Sounds good to me! Make the trade, Ag! I’m assuming that in this scenario our golden boy plays the other corner? (DD) (By the way, I’ve been out of touch for a week – IS Dahl blossoming? Whenever I catch a glimpse, he seems to have done something good….)

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Really good conversation going on here gang. 1. I’ve seen (quite a bit recently) the RBI stat called “useless.” I prefer “secondary.” It’s a stat the player doesn’t have complete control of (players getting on base in front of at bat)……hence the term. Personally, I DONT think the RBI stat is useless. 2. Charlie Blackmon IS slower. He’s nursing an injury, but is also getting older (aren’t we all). He should definitely by out of CF. 3. As noted previously,… Read more »

Agbayani
Member
Agbayani

On bullpen usage: Carp, you hit the nail on the head. This is the year the LaRussa model finally crumbles. And you didn’t even mention the most outrageous disrupter of all – the Rays with their Sergio Romo “opener” concept. That threatens to end the classic starter/reliever distinction. Stats guys have been saying these things for years, but the difference is now that front offices are being run by stats guys. I’d love to see Chris Rusin as an “opener”,… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

IMO…..Coors takes Hamilton from 200-210 to somewhere in the 240-250 range. It benefits him more than any other player in Major League Baseball. He just needs to slap the ball on the ground and run. The spacious Coors OF will take care of the rest.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Ladies and Gents….I apologize for being negligent. One of my favorite events of the year (the MLB Amateur Draft) is coming up and I haven’t offered my incredibly valuable opinions (HA!). Names to watch for 1st round (#22) pick: 1.Travis Swaggerty CF – (University of South Alabama) – the chances of Swaggerty getting to pick #22 are slim and none…..but I like the college bat. Power + Speed + tremendous CF defense. 2. Jared Kelenic – Wisconsin HS – OFer… Read more »

Bob K.
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Bob K.
sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp

Sporting News Mock Draft:
http://www.sportingnews.com/mlb/news/top-mlb-draft-prospects-mock-draft-2018-yankees-tigers-order-giants-san-francisco/18bsj3man1thh1mys96j1xmojb
In this mock….Travis Swaggerty makes it to #20. I’m skeptical.

Draftsite.com Mock:
https://www.draftsite.com/mlb/mock-draft/2018/

BleacherReport:
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2777182-2018-mlb-mock-draft-with-2-weeks-remaining
I think this may be the most accurate (or “current”).